$700 Billion Bailout Plan Leads to Higher Mortgage Rates
Even as Congress continues to wrangle over the $700 billion bailout plan with the White House, mortgage interest rates are already being affected. While the details have yet to be worked out, it is very clear that sometime in the next two weeks to six months a very large amount of money is going to be entering the market. And this causes inflation.
This inflationary reality is explained by Behind the Mortgage:
In borrowing more, the government is (in effect) expanding the money supply; either by literally putting more dollars in circulation, or by creating a perception in world markets that they will, or will have to, in order to repay the debt.
And expanding the supply of dollars is inflationary - More dollars floating around means the dollars the Federal government uses to pay back these debts will be worth less (For evidence of this in action: Just yesterday the dollar recorded its largest ever one day drop.)
This is something that is important to remember, because mortgage interest rates are connected to long term (usually 10 year) Treasury notes. So as government debt, inflation and the money market makes the dollar worth less, investors *need* more greenbacks to recover their return and beat the rate of inflation. The Mortgage Reports Blog connects the dots to what this means for mortgage loan rates:
And lastly, the mortgage market got hit. Because mortgage bonds are repaid in U.S. dollars, the value of those repayments dropped. This forced mortgage rates higher because the only way to entice investors to buy devalued mortgage-backed bonds is to offer them with a higher interest rate.
If you’re wondering why conforming mortgage rates are up by 0.750 percent since last week, this is it — it’s because mortgage rates are responding to the expectations of a weaker dollar going forward. This is the reverse of what happened in August.
So, even though many expect lending standards to loosen up a bit in the coming weeks, it still doesn’t equal a slam-dunk for the consumer. Because now borrowers will be able to get the home mortgage loan, but they will be paying more for it.


