The Economy: What Do Economists Say?
When the subprime mortgage crash of last year triggered a series of events that led to the current slowing economy, many economists were united in saying that things were looking dire. Now that a year has passed, though, there are divisions appearing with regard to how much longer the economy will be in a funk, as well as what is likely to cause continuing problems in the economy.
Is the economic downturn almost over?
The subprime mortgage crash triggered a credit market crash that triggered an economic downturn (no one has officially called it a “recession” yet). Now, some economists are saying that the economic downturn is nearly over, and that, as we enter the second half of the year, things are on the road to recovery for the economy. Indeed, some say that while it will take some time to get over the recent downturn, the worst is over and that recovery is inevitable from here. Some economists believe that a nearly-full recovery may be seen by early 2009.
Or is there more economic downturn trouble ahead?
Other economists, though, are not so sanguine about recovery from the economic downturn. They point to mounting unemployment and rising prices for energy and food. Even though oil prices are down today, the overall trend is still higher, and food prices inflation continues mostly unabated. These higher prices, some economists contend, will only hinder the economy heading into the immediate future.
Here is what Mortgage New Daily reports about some economists’ outlook for the economic downturn:
While there is pressure for the Fed to combat inflation, the central bank remains constrained not only by broad-based, anemic growth, but by the fact that soaring energy prices are caused by increased global demand rather than by U.S. consumers.
Which outlook do you agree with? Is the economic downturn almost over? Or is it just beginning?
Tags: economists, economic downturn, home mortgage loan, mortgage loan blog,
mortgage, mortgage news, subprime mortgage crash
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