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Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Bring Stock Market Down

In order to allow more people to get home mortgage loans, the government chartered two mortgage lenders and gave them the ability to buy home mortgage loans from other lenders. These companies are Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. They used to be heavily regulated. But in the days when de-regulation was in vogue, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac found themselves sidled with fewer and fewer restrictions.

Indeed, the two government chartered companies had enough freedom to become the largest buyers of home mortgage loans — and expose themselves to what became the subprime mortgage crash. And now, despite the rosy outlook of several people over the last few months that the worst was over, serious talks are underway about what might happen if Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac actually fail. Fortune’s Daily Briefing reports on the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac issue:

Even though the discussions have been ongoing for months and are described as part of the Treasury Department’s normal contingency planning, the newspaper says talks have become more serious as the stocks of both companies continue to fall. On Wednesday, shares hit their lowest closing prices in more than 15 years after plummeting Monday. Freddie and Fannie shares were down more than 19% and 10%, respectively, in afternoon trading Thursday.

Those contingency plans may have to be put into practice sooner rather than later. William Poole, the former president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve, says that the two government chartered mortgage lenders are already insolvent. He also doesn’t think that taxpayers should be on the hook for a bailout. (But we’ve already bailed out Bear Stearns. We’re bailing out homeowners. What’s one more bailout?)

At any rate, the Bush Administration is wondering whether or not the bailout point is really the issue. After all, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are the largest buyers of home mortgage loans in the country. This means that if these two companies fold, serious problems could ensue.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac aren’t just in trouble themselves. They are plunging so dramatically that the rest of the financial sector is coming with them. And bringing the stock market along for the ride.

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Will Bank of America Scuttle the Countrywide Deal?

Right now, Bank of America (BAC) might be considering extricating itself from its deal to buy Countrywide (CFC). The fact of the matter is that homeowners aren’t the only ones dealing with negative equity right now. Countrywide has reached a point where its portfolio — in terms of loans — has such a low value that it has gone negative. And Bank of America can’t ignore that.

Countrywide is very exposed in terms of subprime mortgage loans, due to the fact that it is the largest of the U.S. mortgage lenders. That means that it also has a large proportion of the subprime mortgage loans, making things especially difficult for Countrywide right now. Especially since there are signs that Bank of America may be reconsidering.

Bank of America may not walk away completely, though. Instead, the company may decide to re-negotiate how Countrywide’s debt will be treated in the $4 billion deal. Bank of America is still affirming that it will take care of the debt acquired from Countrywide in the deal, but some analysts are wondering how the structure will play out. As a result, reports Reuters, Fitch Ratings is considering its next move with regard to Countrywide:

Fitch said it may cut Countrywide debt into junk territory if Bank of America does not fully support the mortgage lender’s debt after the acquisition.

Countrywide’s ratings may also be equalized with Bank of America’s “AA” rating, the third highest investment grade, depending on the deal’s structure, Fitch added.

This is just one more sign of where the U.S. economy is headed overall.

Disclaimer: I am not an investment professional. Nothing in this piece or on this Web site should be construed as investment advice. Before making investment decisions, do your own research and/or consult with an investment professional. All investment comes with the risk of loss.

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Mortgage Lender News: JP Morgan (JPM) and Merrill Lynch (MER)

JPM, MER, make gains in the financial sectorIt’s a pretty good day on the stock market for mortgage lenders — and for companies that have invested in them. JP Morgan (JPM) and Merrill Lynch (MER) are both up this morning on news from different quarters.

JP Morgan

JP Morgan is benefiting from the announcement that it plans to prepare ahead of time for possible losses. Despite turning a profit (albeit a much smaller one than usual), the company is setting aside billions in order to prepare for the future. Additionally, JPM is preparing to buy more weak stocks, perhaps spurred forward by the success of acquiring Bear Stearns. BloggingStocks reports on the reasoning behind JP Morgan’s merging mood:

JP Morgan’s likely desire to buy smaller financial firms may be a sign that stocks in banks and brokerages are bottoming. Dimon wants a piece of that.

Has the financial sector really bottomed out? Is it time for a turnaround?

Perhaps.

Merrill Lynch

Merrill Lynch is also seeing success this morning. But that probably has a lot to do with the fact that after posting yet another quarterly loss (mostly due to subprime writedowns) MER is announcing that it will cut 4,000 jobs.

Merrill Lynch is in damage control mode, but the moves made by the current CEO (as opposed to the old CEO, who led Merrill Lynch into risky — and ultimately stupid — investments) seem to bolstering some measure of confidence.

So, all in all, things seem to be turning around for some mortgage lenders and other financial sector companies. But how long will it last if they aren’t letting people borrow money to buy houses?

Disclaimer: I am not an investment professional. Nothing in this piece or on this Web site should be construed as investment advice. Before making investment decisions, do your own research and/or consult with an investment professional. All investment comes with the risk of loss.

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